Auto Care Association, MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers Release 2023 Joint Electric Vehicle Trends Report

November 1, 2023

New automotive industry research projects nearly half of U.S. car parc will be electric vehicles by 2045. 

2023 Joint EV Study
– November 1, 2023 – The Auto Care Association and MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers today announced the release of their jointly-commissioned “2023 Joint EV Trends and Outlook Forecast” report to provide the auto care industry with the insights needed to navigate the rapidly evolving industry. Newly released during the 2023 Automotive Aftermarket Products Expo (AAPEX) currently taking place in Las Vegas, Nev., the report is part of industry collaboration designed to inform and support the auto care industry as it navigates change. 

The 2023 Joint EV Trends and Outlook Forecast report shows that battery electric vehicles (BEVs) sales are projected to account for 9% of total United States light vehicles sales in 2023, growing to 35% by 2030. The U.S. car parc is projected to include approximately 10% BEVs by 2030, with that number expanding to account for nearly half of all vehicles by 2045 at 47%. As the complexity and cost of replacement components increase, the aftermarket parts market will continue to grow—meaning the average service shop with two to three bays is expected to need to invest $80,000 – $270,000 to remain competitive in the EV services market. 

New this year, the 2023 Joint EV Trends and Outlook Forecast report includes the addition of an expanded feature focused on the impact of EVs on automotive aftermarket service providers. 

“The study reveals that electrification and ADAS offer the greatest growth potential, growing at 18% and 8% CAGR as the car parc transitions to newer technologies,” commented Paul McCarthy, president and CEO, MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers. “We have learned from the current crop of EVs that while sometimes different things break, they still break - and the aftermarket will be ready.” 

“By the end of this decade, one in 10 new vehicles in the U.S. will be a BEV,” said Bill Hanvey, president and CEO, Auto Care Association. “The trend toward electric vehicle adoption among Americans continues to rise year over year, presenting the aftermarket industry with a clear view of its future: investment in the modernization of auto care businesses now will be essential to our survival in the decades to come.” 

Research and analysis in the 2023 Joint EV Trends and Outlook Forecast were contributed by PwC Strategy&, IMR Inc. |, Schwartz Advisors, and S&P Global Mobility. 

Auto Care Association and MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers members receive complimentary access to this report as a membership benefit. This report may be purchased by non-members for $1,500 and can be accessed instantly on the Auto Care Digital Hub at or the MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers website at